tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5690677.post7716912539578245894..comments2024-03-05T01:07:44.018-05:00Comments on Tao of Poker: Eight Voices and the Sea of TroublesPaulyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09020689398161655082noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5690677.post-56027532182150220472011-01-30T21:09:28.969-05:002011-01-30T21:09:28.969-05:00Betting on sports is the quickest route to living ...Betting on sports is the quickest route to living under a freeway off-ramp that I know of.Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15018793399599951413noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5690677.post-39993641210392238152011-01-28T11:45:09.392-05:002011-01-28T11:45:09.392-05:00Sports betting is like poker. Variance will affec...Sports betting is like poker. Variance will affect you, you'll run hot, run cold, lose games by the hook, win them by the hook, etc, etc. The difference is that in poker, when things aren't going great, you can fire up your lap top and hammer out 1000's of hands a day, and variance will be back on your side in no time. In sports, there are obviously much less "hands" to play, and it takes longer to right the ship.<br /><br />My NCCA-hoops strategy is pretty simple. Try to avoid betting on road teams at all costs. There is much more +EV w/ home teams.<br /><br />For the Super Bowl: Assuming you followed football closely for the last 20 weeks, you should have your mind made up within a couple hours after seeing the line. (or even before you see it, as you should have a number in your head already) Too much research can lead to bad decisions, influenced by the hordes of "experts" on TV/Radio giving you their asstardian "analysis". Trust your gut. All the reasearch you need was already done in the countless hours you spent watching games all year.<br /><br />What does my gut tell me? The game line is too sharp, and the teams too talented to pick a winner. Stay away. I am taking the under. The number in my head moments after the Steelers game ended was 39. It opened at 46, and I got a 3/4 chubby. Of course, I didn't pull the trigger at 46, and now I am stuck at 44.5. But I am slowly hammering at it, and next week when more money starts flowing to the books, maybe it will move back up a notch or two.<br /><br />bk<br /><br />ps- "Lost Vegas" was excellent!! GREAT read! nhAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17218067061820953366noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5690677.post-53061219592904459442011-01-27T13:07:20.017-05:002011-01-27T13:07:20.017-05:00Gold. Pure gold.
Keep 'em coming Dr.Gold. Pure gold.<br /><br />Keep 'em coming Dr.Lucki Duckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05176927202305128485noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5690677.post-83093729377402312662011-01-27T12:02:26.494-05:002011-01-27T12:02:26.494-05:00I'm mired in a slump too, which is why I'm...I'm mired in a slump too, which is why I'm shopping for less juice.<br /><br />I've become pretty numb to the losses, sometimes I don't even sweat the games. I guess I'm not betting enough to get the Charlie Brown stomach aches.<br /><br />When I'm on a cold streak I prefer to concentrate on other areas (like ponies or fantasy) where some proper focus seems to straighten out your ch'i.<br /><br />March madness is coming soon!Buffalo66https://www.blogger.com/profile/12220808319549816234noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5690677.post-8425353634144825762011-01-27T08:55:31.692-05:002011-01-27T08:55:31.692-05:00According to the entry - you're forgetting all...According to the entry - you're forgetting all the players on all the teams are purgatory residents also. Probably with girlfriends whose grandmothers will talk about point spreads if not winners or losers (which all in purgatory are). Therefore, all are out to cause the greatest problems for the almost straight bettor - constantly.<br /><br />Like the entry.TenMilehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14766184262656744054noreply@blogger.com